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Taro Saito report
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18/02/2025
Japan’s Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2024-2026 (February 2025)
In the October–December quarter of 2024, real GDP grew by 0.7% from the previous quarter (eq...
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18/11/2024
Japan’s Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2024-2026 (November 2024)
In the July–September quarter of 2024, Japan’s real GDP grew by 0.9% on an annualized basis f...
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16/08/2024
Japan's Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2024 and 2025 (August 2024)
Real GDP increased by 3.1% in the April-June quarter of 2024 on an annualized basis from the p...
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17/05/2024
Japan's Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2024 and 2025 (May 2024)
Real GDP in the January–March quarter of 2024 contracted at an annualized rate of -2.0% from ...
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16/02/2024
Japan’s Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2023 to 2025 (February 2024)
In the October–December quarter of 2023, the real GDP grew at an annualized rate of ˗0.4% fro...
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16/11/2023
Japan's Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2023 to 2025 (November 2023)
In the July–September quarter of 2023, Japan’s real GDP experienced negative growth for th...
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16/08/2023
Japan’s Economic Outlook for the Fiscal Years 2023 and 2024 (August 2023)
Real GDP grew at a high rate of 1.5% from the previous quarter (equivalent to an annualized ra...
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18/05/2023
Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2023 and 2024 (May 2023)
Real GDP in the January–March quarter of 2023 grew at an annualized rate of 1.6%, the f...
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15/02/2023
Japan’s Economic Outlook for the Fiscal Years 2022 to 2024 (February 2023)
Real GDP grew at an annual rate of 0.6% from the previous quarter in the October–December qua...
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16/11/2022
Japan’s Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2022 to 2024 (November 2022)
However, this does not mean that the economy is deteriorating, as the main cause is the deter...
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16/08/2022
JAPAN’s Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2022 and 2023 (August 2022)
In the April–June quarter of 2022, real GDP grew from the previous quarter at an annualized r...
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19/05/2022
Japan’s Economic Outlook for Fiscal 2022 and 2023 (May 2022)
In the January-March quarter of 2022, real GDP posted an annualized growth rate of negative ...
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16/02/2022
Japan’s Economic Outlook for Fiscal 2021 to 2023 (February 2022)
In the October–December quarter of 2021, real GDP posted an annualized growth rate of 5.4%, ...
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16/11/2021
Japan's Economic Outlook for Fiscal 2021 to 2023
In the July–September quarter of 2021, real GDP posted an annualized contraction of 3.0%, t...
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17/08/2021
Japan's Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2021 and 2022
The Japanese economy has been stagnant since the beginning of 2021. Real GDP in the April–Ju...
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19/05/2021
Japan's Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2021 and 2022
Real GDP in the January-March quarter of 2021 posted its first negative growth in three quar...
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16/02/2021
Japan’s Economic Outlook for FY 2020–2022
Real GDP in the October–December quarter of 2020 grew at an annual rate of 12.7%, a soaring ra...
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17/11/2020
Japan's Economic Outlook for FY 2020–2022
Real GDP in the July–September quarter of 2020 grew at an annualized rate of 21.4%, reflecti...
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18/08/2020
Japan’s Economic Outlook for Fiscal Years 2020 and 2021
The real gross domestic product (GDP) in the April–June quarter of 2020 marked a record minu...
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21/10/2009
Recent Economic Trends as Seen From the Economy Watchers Survey
The apparent economic trough in March 2009 was correctly signaled by the Economy Watchers S...
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15/07/2009
The Worst May be Over for Japan’s Economy-Short-term Economic Forecast (Fiscal 2009-2010)
Japan experienced its worst recession to date in fiscal 2009, marked by two consecutive qua...
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25/03/2009
How the Rapid Growth of Non-Regular Employees Will Impact the Next Round of Employment Adjustment
We predict the next round of employment adjustment will largely bypass regular employees a...
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27/01/2009
The Growing Risk of an Extended Recession-Short-term Economic Forecast (FY 2008-2010)
We believe that Japan’s economy peaked out in late 2007 and entered a downturn. Real ...
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03/07/2008
Economy Struggles with Rising Raw Material Prices-Short-Term Economic Forecast (FY 2008-2009)
Real GDP in Q1 (Jan-Mar) 2008 surged an impressive 4.0% (annualized) from the previous quar...
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29/01/2008
Building Code Revision Intensifies Downside Risk to the Economy - Short-term Economic Forecast(FY 2007~2008)
The real economy expanded at a 1.5% annualized rate in the third quarter of 2007, following n...
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03/08/2007
Economy Must Shift to Consumption-Led Growth-Economic Forecast for FY 2007-2008
The economy’s performance was mixed in January-March (Q1) 2007. Although real GDP ...
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18/05/2007
Assessing the Insufficient Employment Sentiment in Light of Labor Share Trends
Excessive employment, which plagued the post-bubble economy for a decade, has finally end...
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18/05/2005
The Retirement of Baby Boomers and Its Impact on the Labor Market
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01/09/2000
The Need to Cope with the Decline in the Labor Force Participation Rate of Young Persons
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01/06/2000
The Unemployment Severity Index as a Measure of Qualitative Changes in Unemployment
1. IntroductionJapan’s unemployment situation remains grim. The unemployment r...
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01/12/1998
Implications of the 4% Unemployment Rate