Quantitative Analysis of the Growth Potential and Resilience of Emerging Markets in the G-20

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Quantitative Analysis of the Growth Potential and Resilience of Emerging Markets in the G-20

24/02/2010

Quantitative Analysis of the Growth Potential and Resilience of Emerging Markets in the G-20

Economic Research Department Senior economist Koukichiro Mio

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Emerging markets have shown such amazing growth in recent years as to cause the forum for international cooperation to expand from the G-8 into the G-20. Meanwhile, Japanese multinationals are shifting their competitive energies away from Europe and toward the emerging markets. We attempt to assess the growth prospects for the 12 emerging markets in the G-20 based on a quantitative analysis of selected indicators of growth potential and resilience to unforeseen exogenous shocks.