Japan Real Estate Market Quarterly Review-Second Quarter 2022

2022年08月10日

(佐久間 誠) 不動産市場・不動産市況

Summary

Macro Economy
 
  • Japan’s real GDP is expected to increase by 0.8% q-o-q (annualized 3.2% increase) in Q2 2022, driven by the rebound of consumption after the lift of the quasi-state of emergency.
  • Japan’s real GDP is expected to expand by 2.0% in FY2022 and 1.7% in FY2023.

Real Estate Market
 
  • In the Tokyo Grade-A office market, rents continued to decline, but the q-o-q decline decelerating.
  • The decline in multifamily rents appears to have bottomed out in Tokyo.
  • The lift of the quasi-state of emergency led to the recovery of hotels and retails.
  • In Greater Tokyo logistics markets, the supply-demand balance is expected to continue to ease.

Capital Market
 
  • J-REIT Index declined by 1.8% q-o-q in Q2 2022, trading at price to NAV ratio at 1.02x, dividend yield at 3.7%, and dividend and JGB spread at 3.5%.
  • J-REITs acquired property assets totaling JPY112 billion in Q2 2022 (51% decrease y-o-y).
 
 

This report includes data from various sources and NLI Research Institute does not guarantee the accuracy and reliability. In addition, this report is intended only for providing information, and the opinions and forecasts are not intended to make or break any contracts.

金融研究部   主任研究員

佐久間 誠(さくま まこと)

研究領域:不動産

研究・専門分野
不動産市場、金融市場、不動産テック

経歴

【職歴】  2006年4月 住友信託銀行(現 三井住友信託銀行)  2013年10月 国際石油開発帝石(現 INPEX)  2015年9月 ニッセイ基礎研究所  2019年1月 ラサール不動産投資顧問  2020年5月 ニッセイ基礎研究所  2022年7月より現職 【加入団体等】  ・一般社団法人不動産証券化協会認定マスター  ・日本証券アナリスト協会検定会員

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